The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) limped over the finish line on Tuesday to log its fourth consecutive win in a row. Granted, the DJIA gained only 12 points, but it's the thought that counts. The blue-chip barometer is holding above support near 10,500, but is being held in check by resistance near 10,600, which is home to the Dow's June 21 peak. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is battling resistance at 1,115-1,120, with the index finishing perched on its 200-day moving average on Tuesday. Earnings continue to be a major driver on Wall Street, but economic data may take center stage today, with the latest Beige Book from the Federal Reserve. Anxiety is thick on the Street ahead of the Fed's latest assessment of U.S. economic growth, with futures on the DJIA and SPX trading seven points and 0.41 point above fair value, respectively. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) rebounded slightly on Tuesday, but met with resistance at its 200-day moving average. A rejection and extended run lower in the VIX could bode well for market bulls.
In earnings news, Dow component Boeing Co. (BA) said that its second-quarter profit fell 21% to $787 million, or $1.06 per share, as revenue dropped 9% to $15.57 billion. Analysts were looking for earnings of $1.04 per share on sales of $16.4 billion. The company also reaffirmed its full-year guidance of $3.50 to $3.80 per share, which remains below Wall Street's view for earnings of $3.88 per share.
Elsewhere, Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) said that it lost $4.7 million, or a penny per share, in the most recent quarter. Revenue jumped 50.6% to $1.59 billion. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $129 million, or 17 cents per share. Analysts were expecting a profit of 9 cents per share.
Finally, Eastman Kodak Co. (EK) reported that its second-quarter loss from continuing operations narrowed to $167 million, or 62 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, the company said it lost 51 cents per share. Wall Street was looking for a loss of 28 cents per share. Looking ahead, Kodak said that it expects a loss from continuing operations in the range of $50 million to $150 million.
Earnings Preview
On the earnings front, ArcelorMittal (MT), Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. (CCE), Comcast Corp. (CMCSA), ConocoPhillips (COP), Constellation Energy Group Inc. (CEG), International Paper Company (IP), M/I Homes Inc. (MHO), Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia Inc. (MSO), P.F. Chang's China Bistro (PFCB), Sprint Nextel Corp. (S), Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM), Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF), Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (CLF), Goldcorp Inc. (GG), Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (GMCR), NetLogic Microsystems Inc. (NETL), Skechers USA Inc. (SKX), and Sturm, Ruger & Co. (RGR) are scheduled to release their quarterly earnings report today. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com for more news as it breaks.
Economic Calendar
The weekly report on U.S. petroleum supplies and the Fed's Beige Book will hit the Street today, while tomorrow sports the weekly report on initial jobless claims. On Friday, we'll get the latest numbers on second-quarter gross domestic product, along with the Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index for July, and a final look at July consumer confidence as measured by Reuters and the University of Michigan.
Market Statistics
Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1,332,293 call contracts traded on Tuesday, compared to 726,418 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.55, while the 21-day moving average slipped to 0.61.
**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**
Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.
Overseas Trading
Overseas trading is mixed, with six of the 10 foreign indexes that we track in positive territory. The cumulative average return on the collective stands at a gain of 0.43%. Regional indexes in Asia headed higher on Wednesday, with Japanese stocks soaring on the heels of solid corporate earnings from Canon and an improving outlook for exporters. Meanwhile, Chinese stocks rallied after the central bank said that there was little risk of a "double-dip" recession. Across the pond in Europe, stocks have pulled back, potentially stopping the region's winning streak at six sessions in a row, as regional economic concerns reclaimed the limelight.
Currencies and Commodities
The U.S. Dollar Index continues to bounce along support at the 82 level this week, though the index is being squeezed into this support level by resistance at its declining 10-day and 20-day moving averages. In pre-market activity, the index is off fractionally, shedding 0.05% to 82.15. The minor decline in the dollar has done little to bolster commodities, as the front-month crude contract is down 10 cents at $77.40. Crude futures appear to be in danger of reversing course once again, after tangling with resistance near $79-$80 per barrel. Finally, gold futures have risen $4 to trade at $1,165.80 an ounce in London. So far this week, gold has plunged more than 8% to trade at a multi-month low.
Unusual Put and Call Activity:
For an explanation of how to use this information, check out our Education Center topics on Option Volume and Open Interest Configurations.
Discuss this article:
Post your own comment
More articles:
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) are trading flat with fair value this morning, as Wall Street holds its breath ahead of this morning's August nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate. S&P 500 Index (SPX) futures are also indicating no change ahead of the report. Economists are expecting a decline of 105,000 jobs, with a net increase of 30,000 private-sector jobs. The unemployment rate is seen rising to 9.6%. Both the DJIA and the SPX come into today trading above their respective 50-day moving averages. Additionally, the Dow is facing support at 10,150 and resistance at 10,450, while the SPX should find a floor near 1,080 and a ceiling near 1,100. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) closed below its 200-day moving average on Thursday. VIX watchers should keep an eye on this trendline, as well as resistance near the 28-29 level, should today's economic data disappoint. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) soared 255 points on Wednesday, logging its best day since July 7 as hopes for a global economic recovery rose. Wall Street is carrying that positive bias over into the open this morning, even as traders prepare for the next wave of U.S. employment data and a look at July factory orders and new home sales. Ahead of these reports, futures on the DJIA and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are trading 25 points and 2 points above fair value, respectively. The Dow comes into today trading back above support in the 10,250 region and its 50-day moving average. More stalwart support lies in the 10,150-10,100 region, while resistance could materialize near 10,350. As for the SPX, the index is currently capped by its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with additional resistance in the 1,085 region. Support, meanwhile, lies in the 1,070 region. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed out its worst August since 2001 with a huff on Tuesday, as traders appeared reluctant to take a firm stand ahead of this week's employment data. For the month, the DJIA plunged 4.3%, while the S&P 500 Index (SPX) dropped 4.7% in August. However, bolstered by stronger-than-expected economic data out of China and Australia, Wall Street appears ready to turn over a new leaf this morning, as futures on the DJIA and the SPX are trading roughly 91 points and 12 points above fair value, respectively. Keep in mind that the ADP private sector employment report is slated for release later this morning, so be prepared for Wall Street's reaction to the news. Checking the levels, the DJIA has support at 10,000 and 9,950, while resistance lingers overhead in the 10,100 area. As for the SPX, support resides at 1,040, while resistance appears to be growing in the 1,060 region. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plunged 141 points on Monday, as traders continue to fret over the loss of momentum in the economic recovery. With several key reports on tap today, including the minutes from the most recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting, Monday's late-session sell-off has plenty of fuel heading into the open. In fact, futures on the DJIA and S&P 500 Index (SPX) are trading about 65 points and 7.8 points below fair value, respectively. With the Dow perched just above 10,000 heading into the open, it is likely that we will see this psychological level breached in early trading. What's more, the SPX appears poised to open near its lowest levels since July 7. Support for the DJIA could materialize near 9,950, while 1,035 is the next potential floor for the SPX should 1,040 fall. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) could be poised for a breakout above the 28-29 region - an area that has held the index in check since July 6. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) soared more than 165 points on Friday, as Fed chair Ben Bernanke reassured Wall Street that the nation's central bank is far from impotent and, in fact, is ready to step in where needed to support the economy. The reassurance wasn't enough to push the Dow positive for the week, but it did push the blue-chip barometer back above support in the 10,100 region. However, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) failed to retake the 1,065 region, which could provide a bit of resistance early this week. Heading into the open, futures on the DJIA and the SPX are trading relatively flat compared to fair value, as stocks bounce from earlier lows due to a raft of merger and acquisition activity, including deals between Intel Corp. (INTC) and Infineon Technologies AG (IFNNY), and 3M Company (MMM) and Cogent Inc. (COGT). Looking ahead, traders should expect quite a bit of volatility, though any actual directional movement may be limited, as three days of U.S. jobs data will kick off on Wednesday, with the ADP's private sector jobs report, and end on Friday with August's nonfarm payrolls report. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed below the 10,000 level yesterday for the first time since July 6, as a late-session sell-off finally overwhelmed the blue-chip barometer. However, with second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) and a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on tap later today, the situation could change rather quickly. In fact, optimism appears to be creeping onto Wall Street, as futures on the DJIA and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are trading 25 points and 3 points above fair value, respectively. For support, watch the 9,950 and 9,800 levels for the Dow, and the 1,040 and 1,035 areas for the SPX. On the upside, 10,100 could be a major sticking point for the DJIA, while 1,060 remains a short-term ceiling for the SPX. Finally, keep a close eye on the 28-29 region for the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX), as a breakout above this region could mean a continued march higher for market volatility. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) held support at the 10,000 level yesterday, and even managed to finish in positive territory despite a fresh round of weak economic data. The Dow still faces some stiff technical hurdles, including the 10,100 level, not to mention another round of economic reports today, with jobless claims, and tomorrow, with second-quarter gross domestic product. That said, Wall Street appears to have recovered its footing after yesterday's trip below 10,000 on the DJIA, and some bargain hunting may finally be taking place. Heading into the open, futures on the DJIA and S&P 500 Index (SPX) are trading roughly 17 points and 2 points above fair value, respectively. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) was turned back by resistance in the 28 region. This area is home to the VIX's 80-day moving average. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped 134 points on Tuesday to close at its lowest level since July 7. However, the blue-chip barometer held psychological support at the 10,000 level, as market bulls came out early in defense. However, if today's economic reports on new home sales and durable goods miss the mark, DJIA bulls could be kissing goodbye to 10K and potentially saying hello to 2010's lows near 9,600 in short order. As for the S&P 500 Index (SPX), the broad-market index is trading just above potential support near 1,045, though a poor round of economic data could have a chilling effect. Heading into the open, Wall Street doesn't look too optimistic, with futures on the DJIA and the SPX trading about 26 points and 2.6 points below fair value, respectively. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) broke out to a two-month high on Tuesday, and is threatening to close above short-term resistance in the 28 region. As I have said before, a continued rise in the VIX does not bode well for the equities market. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) breached key support at the 10,200 level in late trading on Monday, potentially setting the blue-chip barometer for a sharp decline throughout this post-expiration week. On four of the prior five occasions that the DJIA first closed a session below 10,200, the venerable average has gone on to test or trade significantly below the psychologically important 10,000 mark. What's more, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is also headed lower, with the broad-market index closing below former support at the 1,070 level on Monday. Heading into the open, futures on the DJIA and the SPX are trading 71 points and 8.4 points below fair value, respectively, indicating that Monday's late-session selling pressure could spill over into early trading this morning. Finally, if early indications carry over into the regular session, we could even see the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) break out above resistance in the 27-28 region. The VIX has not traded above this region since July 6. read more...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has pulled back roughly 4.7% since peaking near 10,720 in mid-August. While the DJIA closed out last week with a 60-point drop on Friday, the blue-chip barometer closed off its session lows, and comes into this week trading above potential support near 10,200. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) held at the 1,070 level on Friday, though the broad-market index is once again staring up at potentially stiff resistance in the 1,100 region. Heading into the open, futures on the DJIA and SPX are trading about 38 points and 5.5 points above fair value, respectively, pointing toward a positive start to the session. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) remains somewhat in check, with the index closing above its 10-week trendline for a second week in a row, but unable to surmount its 20-week moving average in the 27 area. If the VIX were to move lower from this point, it could be bullish for the market. That said, we are entering a post-expiration week, which could be fraught with headwinds as investors work to re-establish hedges that expired last week. read more...