Opening View: Will the Fed's Beige Book End the DJIA's Winning Streak?

U.S. stock futures point toward a flat open as economic data looms

by Joseph Hargett (jhargett@sir-inc.com) 7/28/2010 7:57 AM



The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) limped over the finish line on Tuesday to log its fourth consecutive win in a row. Granted, the DJIA gained only 12 points, but it's the thought that counts. The blue-chip barometer is holding above support near 10,500, but is being held in check by resistance near 10,600, which is home to the Dow's June 21 peak. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is battling resistance at 1,115-1,120, with the index finishing perched on its 200-day moving average on Tuesday. Earnings continue to be a major driver on Wall Street, but economic data may take center stage today, with the latest Beige Book from the Federal Reserve. Anxiety is thick on the Street ahead of the Fed's latest assessment of U.S. economic growth, with futures on the DJIA and SPX trading seven points and 0.41 point above fair value, respectively. Finally, the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) rebounded slightly on Tuesday, but met with resistance at its 200-day moving average. A rejection and extended run lower in the VIX could bode well for market bulls.

In earnings news, Dow component Boeing Co. (BA) said that its second-quarter profit fell 21% to $787 million, or $1.06 per share, as revenue dropped 9% to $15.57 billion. Analysts were looking for earnings of $1.04 per share on sales of $16.4 billion. The company also reaffirmed its full-year guidance of $3.50 to $3.80 per share, which remains below Wall Street's view for earnings of $3.88 per share.

Elsewhere, Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) said that it lost $4.7 million, or a penny per share, in the most recent quarter. Revenue jumped 50.6% to $1.59 billion. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $129 million, or 17 cents per share. Analysts were expecting a profit of 9 cents per share.

Finally, Eastman Kodak Co. (EK) reported that its second-quarter loss from continuing operations narrowed to $167 million, or 62 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, the company said it lost 51 cents per share. Wall Street was looking for a loss of 28 cents per share. Looking ahead, Kodak said that it expects a loss from continuing operations in the range of $50 million to $150 million.

Earnings Preview

On the earnings front, ArcelorMittal (MT), Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. (CCE), Comcast Corp. (CMCSA), ConocoPhillips (COP), Constellation Energy Group Inc. (CEG), International Paper Company (IP), M/I Homes Inc. (MHO), Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia Inc. (MSO), P.F. Chang's China Bistro (PFCB), Sprint Nextel Corp. (S), Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM), Cincinnati Financial Corp. (CINF), Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (CLF), Goldcorp Inc. (GG), Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (GMCR), NetLogic Microsystems Inc. (NETL), Skechers USA Inc. (SKX), and Sturm, Ruger & Co. (RGR) are scheduled to release their quarterly earnings report today. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com for more news as it breaks.

Economic Calendar

The weekly report on U.S. petroleum supplies and the Fed's Beige Book will hit the Street today, while tomorrow sports the weekly report on initial jobless claims. On Friday, we'll get the latest numbers on second-quarter gross domestic product, along with the Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index for July, and a final look at July consumer confidence as measured by Reuters and the University of Michigan.

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1,332,293 call contracts traded on Tuesday, compared to 726,418 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.55, while the 21-day moving average slipped to 0.61.

Volatility indices

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

Every morning, our research staff analyzes the prior day and the overnight markets, and monitors the morning wires to give you an accurate preview of the day to come. If you enjoyed today's edition of Opening View, sign up here for free daily delivery, straight to your inbox, before the opening bell.

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